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Counterpoint: iPhone growth has slowed, but Apple’s innovation hasn’t

Apple has always been a leader in innovation. The company has pioneered several product categories and business models including the iPhone, iPad, App Store, iTunes, and more. 

However, recently, Apple’s innovation prowess has been brought into question as its latest iPhone 16 series failed to generate substantial buzz due to only incremental upgrades, its delayed forays into foldables and GenAI. However, Counterpoint Research says that, while iPhone sales have slowed, Apple’s innovation hasn’t.

“Foldables as a segment has shown a lot of promise. With strong marketing pushes from brands, it almost feels like foldables are everywhere and there seems to be a perception building that Apple is late to the segment, like with GenAI,” says Counterpoint. “But looking at the numbers, foldables, though growing at a high rate, are still a niche segment which contributed to only 1% of global smartphone shipments in 2023.”

 According to Counterpoint Research Global Foldable service, even by the end of 2026, the penetration of foldable smartphones within the global smartphone market is only likely to be around 2%. 

In terms of GenAI, the features available in the market are also similar for all the original equipment manufacturers, and GenAI has not been the driving factor for smartphone upgrades yet for any brand, notes the research group.

“Brands are also figuring out whether or not and how to monetize those features and are still in search of that killer application,” says Counterpoint. “Apple, on the other hand, is leveraging its developer base to integrate Apple Intelligence not just at the user interface level, but at an application level to develop a ‘personalized intelligence system’ for each user. This personal intelligence could be much more valuable in terms of usage and would also be an ultimate lock-in within the Apple ecosystem. However, it will take some time to build more features and launch them across regions while maintaining the privacy standards it has set itself, which is an additional challenge for Apple.”

Innovation is not just about the product being sold but also the strategies with which the company is bringing those products to market. Apple has been constantly able to “re-invent” and “innovate” in terms of pricing and positioning strategies for the iPhone.

And you have to look beyond iPhone. Apple has taken categories like smartwatch, extended reality, true wireless stereo, and re-invented them with multiple innovations, notes Counterpoint. Even if Apple hasn’tbeen the brand to bring new features such as full screen displays and multiple cameras to market, its prowess lies in execution and commercializing features at scale with customer centricity, notes the research group. 

“Apple Vision Pro is perhaps the most complex consumer device ever built, an engineering marvel brimming with innovation. Apple has also re-invented the wearables category,” says Counterpoint. “It has positioned the Apple Watch as a health companion. Over the years, Apple has constantly added new health-tracking features and was the first to bring functions like ECG to the market. Most recently, Apple added sleep apnea detection on the Apple Watch and a hearing aid feature on the AirPods. Apple is enabling health tracking for millions of users in ways not easily accessible previously.”

Consumers continue to value Apple’s ecosystem. Counterpoint says this is indicated by record breaking installed base, which is now over two billion active devices.

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Dennis Sellers
the authorDennis Sellers
Dennis Sellers is the editor/publisher of Apple World Today. He’s been an “Apple journalist” since 1995 (starting with the first big Apple news site, MacCentral). He loves to read, run, play sports, and watch movies.